In light of both Andy Roddick & James Blake failing to reach the finals of Indianoplis this past weekend, I’ve decided to unload all my thoughts regarding the future of our country’s male tennis stars. We’ve got our current stars, Blake and Roddick, who look as though their best days may well be behind them. Then we have our future stars, Sam Querrey and Donald Young, who have not quite lived up to their hype, Querrey’s upset last week of Blake notwithstanding. There are a couple other young U.S. kids on the horizon, not quite as highly touted as Querrey and Young. One would be Kellen Damico, who made the Semi’s of the Roland Garros Jr. tournament, and will attend Texas in the fall. Then we’ve also got the countless 13-16 year olds training at various sites throughout the country that you or I have never heard of. After much deliberation – we are not in trouble at all.
I think both Roddick and Blake have another couple years of top 10 caliber play in front of them. They work and train as hard as anyone else on the ATP Tour, and that ethic combined with their talents should be enough to keep them around the upper echelon as the next few years go by. I also think that two or three years from now, as they start to become less of a threat at Grand Slams, Querrey and Young will become more and more of a threat. Even thought Querrey had a tough run of seven or so losses in a row, I don’t think anyone doubts his star quality potential. And then there is the case of Donald Young. Imagine for a second that you had never heard of Donald Young until right now, and I told you he won the Australian Open Jr. Title in 2005 when he was only 15. Then I told you more recently he won the 2007 Wimbledon Jr. Title, and the following week won one of the tougher challenger events in California. And, that he just turned 18 last week. I would hope you might think this kid has a promising future.
Unfortunately for Young he received millions of dollars from Nike a few years back, and with that a boatload of expectations. He played in a bunch of ATP events last year, too early for him, lost all those matches and with it some of his confidence. He is now back on track and coming up the way most players do. I realize I’ve touched on Donald Young before, but as you can tell I am a big supporter of his and want to ram it down everyone’s throat not to give up on him yet. Bottom line, am I guaranteeing Grand Slam titles for Young, or any other American in the future – no, but we will compete.
We are also incredibly spoiled, as we got used to dominating tennis. In the 90’s we had Sampras, Agassi, Courier, Chang, Martin; the 80’s featured McEnroe and Connors, not to mention Tim Mayotte; and before that we had the likes of Arthur Ashe and Stan Smith. Tennis is not like football, we are not the only country who takes it seriously. Other countries are simply producing more top talent than we are right now. I did a bit of research, and decided to compare how many people the following three countries – US, Argentina, Russia – have in the top 100 currently, and how many they had in 1995. I did not choose them at random, they were chosen because it seems to be that Argentina and Russia seem to fill half the draw at each Grand Slam. As of right now, the tally is as follows – Argentina (12), Russia (8) and the US (8). At the year end rankings of 1995, here was the tally – Argentina (2), Russia (3) and the US (13). What does that tell us? To be honest , nothing really. It’s not like it was a scientific experiment. The conclusion I draw is that these types of things tends to run in cycles, and right now we are headed downward, but just one decade ago it looked like Argentina and Russia were more or less off the tennis map, and today they comprise 20% of the entire top 100. So let’s everyone just calm down.