I was trying my best to avoid writing about this, but given it’s really the only thing of note going on in the tennis world, I’ll share my thoughts about the Davis Cup Semifinals occurring this weekend.
Tie 1: US (Roddick, Querrey, M. Bryan, Fish) vs. Spain (Nadal, Ferrer, Verdaso, Lopez) in Madrid on clay.
The reason I was trying to avoid it is because the defending Champion US Team is likely to get decimated in Spain. Even before I learned of both James Blake and Bob Bryan being unable to play due to injury, I certainly did not think much of the American’s chances. Now, without them, I am starting to hope that they don’t get shutout! Originally, I actually talked myself into an upset – Bryans win their doubles match, Roddick certainly saves his best tennis for Davis Cup and could win a match, Blake has had success against Nadal, and Ferrer hasn’t been playing his best tennis lately.
Now however, even with a very talented Sam Querrey filling in for Blake, I simply see no chance for the Americans. The fact that the Bryans are not playing together means Spain will be favored in all five matches of this tie. At the end, I see the US going down 4-1.
Tie 2: Russia (Davydenko, Andreev, Tursunov, Kunitsyn) vs. Argentina (Nalbandian, del Potro, Canas, Calleri) in Buenos Aires on clay.
This tie is far more intriguing, on paper anyway, than the Spain-US matchup. Argentina looks to have a slight advantage, especially given that they are playing at home. On top of that, they have one of the world’s hottest players, in Juan Martin del Potro. However, the Argentines will have to overcome both the depth of the Russians, as well as history, if they are to advance to the Davis Cup Finals. The Russians do not have a weak link on their team, and all but Kunitsyn have plenty of Davis Cup experience. Furthermore, the Russians are 4-1 all time against Argentina. However, I think the combination of home court and the singles duo of Nalbandian and del Potro will vault the Argentines into the final. When all is said and done, I see Argentina winning 3-2.